I originally published this theory well over a year ago and decided to revisit it and revise it after some time before the story picks up again. Curious on everyone’s thoughts.
Part 1 – Jon is Lightbringer
There are quite a few prophecies in A Song of Ice and Fire, but within the context of the TV show universe there are fewer that have received significant screen time and attention. One of the most major ones concern themselves with “Azor Ahai”, “The Prince Who Was Promised”, and the Sword “Lightbringer”. It was this prophecy that Prince Rhaegar Targaryen was consumed with during his life.
Azor Ahai is a major figure in the religion of R’hllor, the Lord of Light – the same figure worshipped by the Red Priests/Priestesses, and primarily represented by the character Melisandre in the show. He was a legendary hero who fought in the last “War of the Dawn” which occurred during the events of the Long Night and the original invasion of Westeros by the White Walkers / Others and was pivotal in driving the invasion back. Per some of the books and sages in Asshai, Azor Ahai is due to be reborn per a prophecy of “The Prince Who Was Promised” and will stand against the White Walkers anew. Melisandre spends most of the time in GoT believing Stannis is that figure. Stannis’s defeat and death in the North causes her to realize that her belief was wrong, and leads indirectly to Jon Snow’s resurrection.
A major part of the Azor Ahai mythos is that he forged a powerful Sword known as “Lightbringer” that enabled his victory. This sword was attempted to be made 3 times – once by tempering in water, but the sword shattered. The second by tempering in the heart of a Lion, but again it shattered. The third by tempering it in the heart of his beloved wife (known as “Nissa Nissa” in the legend), which succeeds.
As has been noted in-universe and out, the Red Priests and Priestesses have access to a mystic source of information and power. Melisandre performs many feats, but she is ultimately incorrect about Stannis. She transfers (somewhat shakily) this idea of Azor Ahai reborn onto Jon Snow, but is clearly uncertain in her thoughts given her earlier misjudgement.
It’s my contention (as well as others who have gone into far more detail on this and deserve far more credit) that the followers of R’hllor are looking at things in the incorrect manner, and it is leading them astray from figuring out the prophecy correctly – this is not terribly surprising, given that the story is well over 5000 years old at the time of the GoT books, so something was probably mangled in the centuries as the story was told and retold.
In an alternate take on things, the figure of ‘Azor Ahai”, and the “Prince Who Was Promised” could be considered separate figures. This is apparently the conclusion that Rhaegar came to as well after he originally considered himself the ‘Prince Who Was Promised’ and instead concluded that it would be his son.
Under this reading, Azor Ahai reborn is Rhaegar Targaryen – the facts of his life align well with it – for instance, he was born amidst “Salt and Smoke” – which matches the Tragedy at Summerhall very well (a massive fire in one of the royal palaces, killing many of the royal line which also caused quite a bit of grief to the Realm as Aegon V Targaryen (i.e. “Egg” of the Dunk and Egg novels) was popular with the common folk). Rhaegar was born on the same day of the event.
But Azor Ahai still has to forge the sword Lightbringer. Instead of being a literal sword, take it as a metaphor for conception and childbirth. The sword Lightbringer was attempted to be forged three times, and only succeeded upon the last attempt, which also killed his wife. This aligns well with Rhaegar having 3 children – and not coincidentally, Jon kills his mother upon being born.
Another interesting angle is the fact that Rhaegar during the course of his life made 3 predictions of who he thought Azor Ahai would be as he studied the prophecy. He first thought it would be himself, then revised that to his first son Aegon. Finally he concluded that he would need to have a 3rd child (“The Dragon has 3 heads”).
Note how each of those deaths match up with the forging story of Lightbringer…
The 1st attempt to forge Lightbringer tempered it in water, but it shattered and broke. Rhaegar died at the battle of the river Trident in combat with Robert Beratheon.
The 2nd attempt to forge the sword tempered it in the heart of a lion, but again it broke. Rhaegar’s 1st son Aegon died at the sack of King’s Landing during the closing days of Robert’s Rebellion. The forces of House Lannister, which holds a Lion as their house sigil were most directly responsible.
The 3rd attempt to forge the sword succeeded. Jon was tempered through Lyanna who died when he was withdrawn.
Part 2 – The Ice Dragon changes the Game
Currently, the defense of the Realm is shaping up to be a fortification against the Army of the Dead in the North. However, as more then one poster has noted, this has a glaring weakness – the Night King now has access to a Dragon, and is actively riding it. While this is a potent weapon all on it’s own, it’s not the true danger – what this does is give the Night King a greatly increased mobility. He has the ability to raise wights from the dead at any location. With the Dragon allowing him to effectively go anywhere he chooses he can easily bypass the Northern defenses and create new Armies of the Dead where he pleases, immediately outflanking our main characters. The only known strategic weakness the White Walkers have been shown to possess is the fact that any wights created by a given WW are destroyed upon their death. This leads to the end game.
Part 3 – The Last Stand
The Defense of the North will fall quickly due either to overwhelming numbers or defeat in detail due to being quickly surrounded by new dead armies created at will. The Army of the Living will need to retreat to the south to avoid being defeated entirely – and while the Dragonglass weapons provided by Jon’s expedition to Dragonstone and the remaining Dragons may allow them to punch an effective hole through the Dead Army lines, it will be a temporary respite. They would need to fall back to a stronghold and force a confrontation with the Night King in order for any hope to remain – if he is killed, the entire wight army evaporates, and possibly the remaining White Walkers.
This stronghold is King’s Landing – and this brings Cersei’s plotting back to the forefront of the plot in order to bring the conclusion to fruition.
Now, King’s Landing has a secret that very few people are privy to – it is mined extensively with Wildfire. I believe the end victory scenario involves Jon and Dany engaging the Night King with their Dragons to force a confrontation at King’s Landing. There Jon now gets to somehow invoke his destiny as Lightbringer – and what would be a bigger ball of light then all of King’s Landing going up all at once, with the Night King taken by surprise at the last second?
/u/Logistics515 , 2018-09-11 17:17:28
Content from https://www.reddit.com/r/gameofthrones/comments/9ezhq5/spoilers_azor_ahai_and_lightbringer_my_theory_of/